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Is Cash Dead?

As cards and mobile payments become more common, more people are buying things without bills and coins

Mike Kane/Bloomberg via Getty Images

At the Amazon Go store in Seattle, Washington, shoppers scan in at a kiosk, grab what they want, and leave without visiting a cashier.

Snacks, sodas, and sandwiches line the shelves of the Amazon Go store. It looks like a normal place to grab a quick meal. But there are no cashiers in sight. To get in, you scan your phone at a kiosk. Small black cameras in the ceiling watch what you take off the shelves. When you’re done, you simply walk out the door with your items. A few minutes later, your phone buzzes with your payment receipt.

Amazon opened its first cashless market last year at its headquarters
in Seattle. Now there are also stores in Chicago and San Francisco. It’s part of a growing number of businesses that are ditching cash in favor of mobile payments. “People find it very convenient, particularly younger people,” says Kenneth Rogoff, an economist at Harvard University.

Between debit and credit cards and mobile payment apps, there are more ways than ever to avoid using coins and paper money. Could that mean that cash is becoming a thing of the past?

There are snacks, sodas, and sandwiches on the shelves of the Amazon Go store. It looks like a normal place to grab a quick meal. But there are no cashiers in the store. To get in, you scan your phone at a kiosk. Small black cameras in the ceiling watch what you take off the shelves. When you’re done, you simply walk out the door with your items. A few minutes later, your phone buzzes. You’ve received your payment receipt.

Amazon opened its first cashless market last year. That store is at the company’s headquarters in Seattle. Now there are also stores in Chicago and San Francisco. They’re part of a growing number of businesses that don’t take cash—only mobile payments. “People find it very convenient, particularly younger people,” says Kenneth Rogoff. He’s an economist at Harvard University.

There are more ways than ever to pay without coins and paper money. People can use debit and credit cards or mobile payment apps. Could that mean that cash is becoming a thing of the past?

A HISTORY OF CASH

Money has taken many forms over human history. People have used everything from rocks to shells to cheese as currency (see Strange Cash). In the 18th century, American frontiersmen paid each other in buckskins—the pelts of deer they had hunted. That’s why dollars are called “bucks” today.

But most societies have introduced some form of cash to trade for products and services. The first coins started circulating in Asia around 700 b.c. Paper money was invented in China around 1000 A.D. These bills were easier to carry around than heavy coins or other valuable items.

Credit cards, which allow people to buy something and pay for it later, started being widely used in the 1950s. Debit cards, which deduct money directly from a person’s bank account, took off a few decades after that. Today, swiping a card is the most common noncash payment method. But technology companies are coming up with more futuristic ways to pay

Money has taken many forms over human history. People have used everything from rocks to shells to cheese as currency. In the 18th century, American settlers paid each other in buckskins, or deer pelts. That’s why dollars are called “bucks” today.

But most societies use some form of cash to trade for products and services. The first coins were made in Asia around 700 B.C. Paper money was invented in China around 1000 A.D. Coins and other valuable items could be heavy. Bills were easier to carry around.

Credit cards gained popularity in the 1950s. They allow people to buy something and pay for it later. Debit cards took off a few decades after that. They subtract money directly from a person’s bank account. Today, swiping a card is the most common way to pay without cash. But technology companies are quickly coming up with more.

NO BILLS NEEDED

In 2017, a Wisconsin company called Three Square Market offered employees a new way to buy snacks in the office break room. After picking out their items, they would simply wave their hand at a scanner to check out. But it would work only if the employees first underwent a quick procedure: the injection of an electronic chip the size of a rice grain into the skin between their thumb and index finger.

The chips are programmed with a unique code that can be linked to a user’s payment information. The scanner reads the code through the person’s skin and charges his or her account. About 50 employees volunteered to receive the implant. “We see chip technology as the next evolution in payment systems,” the company’s CEO said at the time.

Not everyone wants a chip inside their body. But other cashless payment methods aim to work almost as seamlessly. Mobile apps like Venmo and PayPal allow people to send each other money with a few quick phone taps. Android and iPhone users can simply touch their phones to a store’s card reader to pay.

In 2017, a Wisconsin company called Three Square Market made an announcement. It was offering employees a new way to buy snacks in the office break room. First the employees would pick out their items. Then they would simply wave their hand at a scanner to check out. But it would work only if the employees first got an electronic chip implanted in their hand. The chip is about the size of a rice grain. A device injects it into the skin between the thumb and index finger.

The chips are programmed with a unique code. It can be linked to a user’s payment information. The scanner reads the code through the person’s skin. Then it charges his or her account. About 50 employees volunteered to receive the implant. “We see chip technology as the next evolution in payment systems,” the company’s CEO said at the time.

Not everyone wants a chip inside their body. But other cashless payment methods work almost as easily. Mobile apps like Venmo and PayPal allow people to send each other money with a few quick phone taps. Android and iPhone users can simply touch their phones to a store’s card reader to pay. 

Jeff Baenen/AP Photo (employee); iStock/Getty Images (x-ray); Steven Puetzer/Getty Images (microchip)

An employee at Three Square Market in Wisconsin gets a microchip (inset) implanted in his hand. It will allow him to open doors, log onto his computers, and buy snacks in the break room by waving his hand.

A CASHLESS FURTURE?

In 2000, Americans made about 72 billion noncash payments, according to the U.S. Federal Reserve bank. By 2015, that number was up to 144 billion. Mobile payments still make up only a small fraction of those transactions. But experts like Rogoff expect the number to grow.

There are some downsides to going cashless. For instance, using cards and mobile apps makes it easier for companies—and your parents—to track what you buy. For many people, though, the convenience of cashless options outweighs these privacy concerns.

Rogoff thinks Americans will use even less cash in the coming decades. Many countries are already using less cash than we are, he says. China and India now have systems where people can pay with a fingerprint or face scan. “You don’t bring a card, you just put your fingerprint down,” says Rogoff. “In the future, your identity is cash.”

The U.S. Federal Reserve System tracks how Americans use money. In 2000, people made about 72 billion noncash payments, the Reserve found. By 2015, that number was up to 144 billion. Mobile payments still make up only a small number of those transactions. But experts like Rogoff expect the number to grow.

There are some downsides to going cashless. For instance, using cards and mobile apps means companies—or your parents—can track what you buy. But cashless options are convenient. Many people find that more important than privacy.

Rogoff thinks Americans will use even less cash in the future. Many countries are already using less cash than we are, he says. China and India now have systems where people can pay with a fingerprint or face scan. “You don’t bring a card, you just put your fingerprint down,” says Rogoff. “In the future, your identity is cash.”

Economists analyze people’s spending habits to look for trends and predict what might happen in the future. They might compare data from different groups of people or see how spending changes over time. Use the graphs to compare the spending habits of two age groups of Americans and analyze the most popular payment methods in the U.S. Record your work and answers on our answer sheet.

Economists analyze people’s spending habits to look for trends and predict what might happen in the future. They might compare data from different groups of people or see how spending changes over time. Use the graphs to compare the spending habits of two age groups of Americans and analyze the most popular payment methods in the U.S. Record your work and answers on our answer sheet.

A. The circle graphs above show the payment methods used most often by two age groups of Americans. Which method(s) do people 22 and under use most?

A. The circle graphs above show the payment methods used most often by two age groups of Americans. Which method(s) do people 22 and under use most?

B. Which method(s) do people ages 55 to 73 use most?

B. Which method(s) do people ages 55 to 73 use most?

Which age group uses mobile and person-to-person payments for more of their purchases?

Which age group uses mobile and person-to-person payments for more of their purchases?

Which payment method has the biggest difference in use between the age groups in the graphs?

Which payment method has the biggest difference in use between the age groups in the graphs?

Which payment method do both groups use in almost the same proportion?

Which payment method do both groups use in almost the same proportion?

What is one conclusion you can draw about the two groups’ spending habits by looking at both circle graphs? Explain your reasoning.

What is one conclusion you can draw about the two groups’ spending habits by looking at both circle graphs? Explain your reasoning.

A. The bar graphs above show how often all American adults used different payment methods and the average amount they paid in each transaction in October 2017. Which payment method did people use for the greatest number of transactions?

A. The bar graphs above show how often all American adults used different payment methods and the average amount they paid in each transaction in October 2017. Which payment method did people use for the greatest number of transactions?

B. Which payment method did people use for the most expensive transactions?

B. Which payment method did people use for the most expensive transactions?

A. What is the approximate total amount of money an average American spent in cash in October 2017? (Hint: Use information from both bar graphs to calculate this.)

A. What is the approximate total amount of money an average American spent in cash in October 2017? (Hint: Use information from both bar graphs to calculate this.)

B. Which payment method did people use for the most expensive transactions?

B. Which payment method did people use for the most expensive transactions?

Based on the bar graphs, what is one thing you can conclude about how Americans use different payment methods? Explain your reasoning.

Based on the bar graphs, what is one thing you can conclude about how Americans use different payment methods? Explain your reasoning.

A. Based on all four graphs, do you think Americans are likely to stop using cash soon? Explain your answer.

A. Based on all four graphs, do you think Americans are likely to stop using cash soon? Explain your answer.

B. What additional data might help support your prediction?

B. What additional data might help support your prediction?

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